Citigroup the global economy falls into a spiral of

Citigroup: the global economy into a death spiral U.S. stock market center: exclusive national industry sector stocks, premarket after hours, ETF, real-time quotes Sina warrants Stocks – 6 am Beijing time CNBC, Citigroup strategists warned that the global economy seems to have been trapped in a "death spiral", may lead to a further decline in oil prices and the recession and a severe stock market. By January this year, the stock market turbulence, and two weak economic data, some analysts on the global economic outlook has turned bearish, including Citigroup analysts. "The world seems to have fallen into a spiral of death," said Citigroup strategist headed by Jonathan Stubbs in a report released on Thursday. Dollar appreciation, crude oil and commodity decline, Global trade and weak liquidity of oil dollar, emerging markets (and global growth) slowdown…… Go round and begin again。 This will lead to a global recession and a moderate stock bear market." Stubbs says Citigroup’s strategists expect the dollar to weaken in 2016, while oil prices may hit the bottom, providing some light at the end of the tunnel. He said: "the spiral of death is not in the interests of anyone. Rational behavior is highly likely to prevail." Since mid 2014, crude oil prices have fallen by about 70%, during which the dollar’s exchange rate against a basket of currencies has risen by about 20%. According to the International Monetary Fund [micro-blog] data, global economic growth of 3.1% in 2015, is expected in 2016 and 2017 will increase by 3.4% and 3.6% respectively. But Citigroup’s view is more pessimistic, the bank just last month lowered its expectations for global economic growth, is expected in 2016 the global economy will only grow by 2.7%. (arrow)

花旗:全球经济陷入死亡螺旋 美股行情中心:独家提供全美股行业板块、盘前盘后、ETF、权证实时行情   新浪美股讯 北京时间6日凌晨CNBC称,花旗集团的策略师警告称,全球经济似乎已陷入“死亡螺旋”,可能导致油价进一步下跌、经济衰退和严重的股票熊市。   受今年1月股市动荡,以及中美两国疲软经济数据影响,一些分析师对全球经济前景已转为看跌,其中也包括花旗的这些分析师。   以Jonathan Stubbs为首的花旗策略师在周四发布的一份报告中表示:“世界似乎陷入了一个死亡螺旋。美元升值、原油和大宗商品下跌、全球贸易和石油美元流动性疲软、新兴市场(和全球增长)减速……周而复始。这将导致一场全球性衰退,以及一轮适度的股票熊市。”   Stubbs表示,花旗的宏观策略师们预计2016年美元将走弱,而油价可能触底,从而在隧道尽头提供一些光亮。他表示:“死亡螺旋不符合任何人的利益。理性行为极有可能占据上风。”   自2014年年中以来,原油价格已下跌约70%,在此期间美元对一篮子货币的汇率上升了约20%。根据国际货币基金组织[微博]的数据,2015年全球经济增长3.1%,预计2016年和2017年将分别增长3.4%和3.6%。   但花旗的看法更为悲观,该行上月刚刚下调了对全球经济增长的预期,目前预计2016年全球经济将仅增长2.7%。(羽箭)相关的主题文章: