Certificate precious metals US data mixed Fed officials Taiji-puritans pride

Certificate precious metals: U.S. data mixed Fed officials Taiji clients view the latest market market review and look forward to find the policy outlook from the United States a series of economic data and Fed officials in a speech Thursday market clues, but mixed economic data, the Fed officials play Taiji skill, so the price of silver dollar adjustment consolidation, up and down the final price of silver belt saw, under the shadow of a small Yin, fell 0.16%. Basic analysis, the U.S. dollar index shocks around 97.40, the global slowdown worries limit the rise in the dollar, the market is still optimistic about the U.S. economic outlook. Many of the Federal Reserve officials continued to make public statements, and their statements did not have clear policy prospects. The focus of the current market is at the G20 conference in Shanghai on the weekend. Because the market has been worried about the global economic slowdown recently, this has led to the risk aversion in the market. There is growing skepticism about whether the Fed can raise interest rates in March, and even doubt whether it will raise interest rates again this year. Shanghai’s stock market tumbled 6%, not to Europe and the United states. On Thursday 2.7% 2016 Citibank global economic growth is expected from the previous estimate of down to 2.5%, mainly due to the global economic growth prospects are deteriorating, the developed economies continue to slow economic activity, the weakness in emerging markets will continue to economic growth; in addition, there may be below 2%. The current market concerns held in Shanghai this weekend’s group of 20 (G20) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting [micro-blog], but some investors of the meeting is to bring confidence in the market to boost the skeptical. The economic data released in the United States are mixed, and investors are optimistic about the Fed’s interest rate outlook over the year. Among them, durable goods orders data show good, while the initial jobless data and house price index is less than expected. Specific data show that the United States in January durable goods orders monthly rate of 4.9%, an increase of nearly a year, the largest expected 2.9%, the former value of -4.6%. U.S. January durable goods orders surged to 10 month highs, mainly in durable goods demand in various regions across the country have been rising, including civil aircraft orders surged 54.2% has become the main driving force, this is the first life on the development of American manufacturing industry at present the downward pressure, or to the United States in the first quarter to GDP performance positive factors. The first jobless claims in the United States in February 20th were 272 thousand, 270 thousand, and 262 thousand. The United States at the beginning of the week when the number increased compared to last week, while the fluctuations around the mean generally relatively large decline to the lowest level since the last 12 months, the overall U.S. employment market is still steady development, but the need to guard against the global financial market turbulence and overseas economic weakness may bring adverse effects to the labor market in the United states. Another U.S. data show that the U.S. FHFA housing price index in December, the monthly rate of 0.4%, expected 0.5%, the previous value of 0.5%. Institutional positions in terms of gold and silver Holdings: the world’s largest gold ETF–SPDR  Gold  Trust as of February 25th yellow. 证金贵金属:美国数据好坏参半联储官员打太极 客户端 查看最新行情   行情回顾   周四市场期待从美国一系列经济数据和美联储官员的讲话中寻找政策前景的线索,不过经济数据好坏参半,而美联储众官员施展太极功力,美元因此整固调整,银价上下拉锯,最终银价收带上下影的小阴线,下跌0.16%。   基本面分析   美元指数震荡交投于97.40附近,全球放缓忧虑限制美元升势,市场仍然看好美国经济前景。美联储众多官员继续发表公开言论,他们的言论并未有明确的政策前景线索。目前市场的焦点在周末上海的G20会议。   由于近来市场对于全球经济放缓忧虑始终不断,这使得市场避险情绪一直持续。各界对于美联储能否在3月升息的怀疑与日俱增,甚至怀疑它今年能否再次升息。上海股市重挫6%的利空并未传递至欧美市场。周四花旗银行将2016年全球经济增速预期从此前预估的2.7%下调至2.5%,主要因全球经济增长前景正在不断恶化,发达经济体的经济活动继续放缓,新兴市场的疲软也将持续;此外,经济增速还有可能跌至2%以下。目前市场关注本周末在上海召开的20国集团(G20)财长和央行[微博]行长会议,但一些投资人对此次会议是否能对市场信心带来大的提振持怀疑态度。   美国公布的经济数据好坏参半,投资者依然看好联储年内加息前景。其中耐用品订单数据表现良好,而初请失业金数据和房价指数则表现不及预期。具体数据显示,美国1月耐用品订单月率初值4.9%,增幅为近一年最大,预期2.9%,前值-4.6%。美国1月耐用品新订单创下10个月以来新高,主要在于全美各地区的耐用品需求都出现了上涨,其中民用飞机订单激增54.2%成为主要推动力,这对目前出现下行压力的美国制造业发展来说是一线生机,从而或给美国第一季度GDP表现带来利好因素。美国2月20日当周首次申请失业救济人数27.2万,预期27.0万,前值26.2万。美国当周初请人数相比上周有所增加,而波动性一般比较大的四周均值下滑至去年12月中以来的最低水平,总体来看美国就业市场依旧稳健发展,但目前需要警惕全球金融市场震荡及海外经济疲软可能会给美国就业市场带来不利影响。另一项美国数据显示,美国12月FHFA房价指数月率0.4%,预期0.5%,前值0.5%。   机构持仓   黄金白银持仓量方面:全球最大的黄金ETF–SPDR Gold Trust截至2月25日黄金持仓量约为760.32吨,较前一日仓位保持不变,黄金ETF–SPDR Gold Trust近期出现持续加仓动作。全球最大的白银ETF–iShares Silver Trust白银持仓量报9692.42吨,较前一日保持不变,白银ETF–iShares Silver Trus日前再次出现加仓动作。   技术分析   从白银日线图上看,MACD死叉,KDJ指标开口向下,均线系统中MA5与MA10向下,MA20、MA60向上发散。从4小时图上看,MACD绿柱缩小,KDJ指标即将金叉,均线系统中MA5、MA10向下,MA20、MA60走平。整体看,短线技术指标偏空。   多空博弈   现货黄金:投资者依然看好联储年内加息前景,美元有望继续走高,短线技术指标偏弱,金价短线高位回调的概率较大,短线支撑1210,短线压力1250。   根据对证金贵金属研究团队所有分析师的多空观点调查显示,40%分析师对今日盘面看多,50%分析师对今日盘面看空,10%分析师对今日盘面看平。   看多理由:白银ETF加仓;避险情绪升温。   看空理由:投资者依然看好联储年内加息前景,美元有望继续走高;周五美国数据或不错;日线技术指标偏空。   综合各分析师观点,今日欧美盘时间操作策略如下,仅供参考。   操作策略 重要点位 第一支撑位 3129 第二支撑位 3100 支撑位释义 趋势线 支撑位释义 整数关口 第一压力位 3200 第二压力位 3235 压力位释义 整数关口 压力位释义 趋势线 策略 首选策略 入场点 止盈点 止损点 看空 3200 3129 3230 备选策略 入场点 止盈点 止损点 看多 3129 3200 3100  新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: